Reliability and Decision Theory: Critical Thinking

Reliability and Decision Theory: Critical Thinking

The supplement to Chapter 5 (attached) describes and develops several decision trees. In a 3-4-page paper, not including the cover and reference pages, develop a decision tree for a work or personal decision that you must make. Explain the process of developing a decision tree, and your specific case. You must have at least three Decision Points, and three Chance Events. As shown in the Risk Precis video https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=1&v=-f5I99Q9hwY , make sure to parameterize the outcomes, determine the expected value, and defend your final decision based on your decision tree. Be sure to use at least two current, scholarly references beyond any required course readings. Current sources are those published within the most recent five-year period, and scholarly sources are those from peer-reviewed journals.